Tag: quantitative reasoning

Source URL: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/uGkRcHqatmPkvpGLq/contra-papers-claiming-superhuman-ai-forecasting Source: Hacker News Title: Contra papers claiming superhuman AI forecasting Feedly Summary: Comments AI Summary and Description: Yes **Summary:** The text critiques misleading claims about AI forecasting powered by large language models (LLMs), arguing that many recent studies have overstated their performance compared to human forecasters. It emphasizes the challenges of accurate…